The most sophisticated intelligence-driven prediction platform for global conflicts, diplomacy, and military developments. Use virtual points. Think strategically. Track reality.
This market resolves YES if Iran conducts a direct military strike on Israeli territory (including ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, or drone swarms launched from Iranian soil or Iranian-controlled territory) before June 1, 2025.
This market resolves YES if an officially announced ceasefire between Israel and Hamas holds without significant military violations for 30 consecutive days. The clock starts from the first day of the announced ceasefire.
This market resolves YES if Hezbollah launches a large-scale ground invasion involving more than 1,000 fighters crossing the Blue Line into Israeli territory, resulting in significant territorial control or major IDF combat response.
This market resolves YES if an officially announced ceasefire between Israel and Hamas holds without significant military violations for 30 consecutive days. The clock starts from the first day of the announced ceasefire.
Resolves YES if Qatar is credited as the primary mediator in a new, signed Gaza agreement involving hostage release and/or ceasefire terms.
| # | Forecaster | Points | Win Rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | A Analyst Prime | 8.4K | 66% |
| 2 | G GeoIntel | 6.8K | 63% |
| 3 | S Strategic Mind | 5.2K | 62% |
| 4 | F ForecasterX | 3.1K | 60% |
Explore geopolitical prediction markets covering conflicts, diplomacy, military developments, and regional tensions worldwide.
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Monitor market movements, probability shifts, and how other forecasters are positioned. Study the geopolitical landscape.
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Active Markets
11
Forecasters
6
Predictions Made
0
Starting Balance
1,000 pts
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